Fangraphs Playoff Odds 2023 (2024)

FAQs

How are FanGraphs playoff odds calculated? ›

To generate the playoff odds, we take the current standings, the remaining schedule, and each team's projected performance. We use those inputs to simulate the remaining season 20,000 times.

Mariners Playoff Chances

The Mariners playoff odds are +500, which implies a 16.67% chance of making the postseason. Here is how their playoff odds compare to the rest of the AL West: Astros: -1100. Mariners: +500.

With each passing day, the Chicago Cubs' chances of making the 2024 MLB postseason get slimmer and slimmer. Now 61-64 after their loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday afternoon, the Cubs have a 4.0 percent chance of making the playoffs.

The major difference between fWAR and bWAR comes from the measurement of fielding runs, which is the defensive output a player provides. Fangraphs uses a statistic called Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR), while Baseball-Reference uses a statistics called Defensive Runs Saved (DRS).

FanGraphs' WAR for pitchers is based on FIP (plus infield fly balls). We also have a version called RA9-WAR which is based on runs allowed. Baseball-Reference uses runs allowed and attempts to correct for the team defense. WAR for relievers includes a leverage component.

The Mariners World Series odds are +3000. World Series Favorites: Los Angeles Dodgers: +325.

Padres Playoff Chances

The Padres playoff odds are -2000, which implies a 95.24% chance of making the postseason.

The favored Cubs have -147 moneyline odds to win against the underdog White Sox, who are listed at +123. The Cubs are a 1.5-run favorite (at +115 odds).

Walk down the stairs to the State Street subway entrance and get on the northbound Howard/Dan Ryan red line. Take this to the Addison Street stop. Walk one block east on Addison and you're at Wrigley Field.

Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl in 2025? ›

The Chiefs are unsurprisingly the betting favorites to win Super Bowl 59. At +500, they have an implied probability of 16.67% of pulling off the three-peat.

The positive number shows how much would be gained on a successful $100 bet. A +300 money line, for instance, would mean that if you place a successful bet of $100, you would win $300. Gamblers can find opportunities to make especially good returns when betting markets are inefficient.

Can the Kansas City Chiefs become the first team to win three Super Bowls in a row? The two-time defending champions are the favorite to win Super Bowl 59 at +550, with the San Francisco 49ers hot on their heals at +600.

The 4-2 Rule is a way of turning how many outs you have into your odds of hitting them. It's 4 times on the flop to hit on the turn or river, and simply multiply 2 on the turn to hit your draw on the river. E.g., a flopped flush draw is nine outs. Multiply this by 4, and the odds of hitting it by the river are 36%.

Fractional odds represent the potential profit in relation to the bet. Fractional odds are shown as a fraction, i.e., 3/1 or 5/2. To calculate the odds, the formula is Denominator / (Denominator + Numerator). Example: 2 / (2 + 5) = 0.285 (or 28.5 %).

To calculate the place part you just need to divide the odds (e.g. 7/4) by the Each Way Terms (1/4) --> 7 divided by 5 = 1.4 so the odds will change from 7/4 to 1.4/4. £10 at 1.4/4 = £3.50. This means you will be paid only for the place part of your bet at 1/4 of your odds.

To convert from a probability to odds, divide the probability by one minus that probability. So if the probability is 10% or 0.10 , then the odds are 0.1/0.9 or '1 to 9' or 0.111. To convert from odds to a probability, divide the odds by one plus the odds.